Post-Holiday Amazon PPC: What to Do in January
January 2nd hits and most Amazon sellers do one of two things with their PPC: nothing (letting Q4 budgets bleed into a low-traffic month) or panic-cutting everything by 50%. Both are wrong. Post holiday Amazon PPC requires a deliberate reset — not a knee-jerk reaction.
After managing Q4-to-Q1 transitions for 100+ brands, here is the playbook we follow every year at Skale.
Week 1 of January: Assess the Damage
Do not change anything in the first 2-3 days. Amazon's attribution window means conversions from late December are still rolling in through January 3-5. Making bid changes based on incomplete data leads to bad decisions.
Once attribution settles, pull reports and answer three questions:
- Which campaigns ran at an acceptable ACOS during Q4 and which got out of control?
- What was your actual vs. planned Q4 spend? Most brands overshoot by 15-25%.
- Which new keywords or ASINs emerged as winners during the holiday rush that deserve permanent campaigns?
Week 1-2: Right-Size Budgets
Traffic in January drops 30-50% compared to December. Your daily budgets need to reflect that. But do not just slash them uniformly.
Top performers: Reduce budgets by 20-30%. These campaigns were working in Q4 and they will work in January — just at lower volume. Cutting too deep here means losing profitable sales.
Q4-specific campaigns: Pause them entirely. Gift keywords, holiday bundles, seasonal terms — these are dead weight in January. Keep the campaigns intact for next year's Q4, but stop spending now.
Underperformers that you tolerated during Q4: Q4's high conversion rates mask a lot of mediocre campaigns. A keyword running at 35% ACOS in December was probably profitable because conversion rates were elevated. That same keyword in January might run at 55% ACOS when conversion rates normalize. Pause or heavily reduce bids on anything that was borderline during Q4.
Week 2-3: Adjust Bids Systematically
CPCs in January are typically 20-35% lower than Q4 peaks. The competitive pressure eases as sellers pull back budgets. This is actually an opportunity.
Lower your bids, but not as much as the CPC drop. If CPCs fall 30%, lower bids 15-20%. This gets you a better position in a less competitive auction at a lower cost. Brands that aggressively cut bids in January often lose top-of-search placement to competitors who are being more strategic.
The January Opportunity Most Sellers Miss
Gift card redemptions. Millions of Amazon gift cards are activated in late December and redeemed in January. This creates a wave of high-intent shoppers in the first two weeks of January who are ready to buy. If you have pulled all your budgets, you are invisible to these shoppers.
We specifically maintain strong bids on high-converting exact match campaigns through mid-January for this reason. The traffic is lower than Q4, but the conversion rates are surprisingly strong because these shoppers have money to spend and a reason to spend it.
Week 3-4: Plan Your Q1 Strategy
Once the post-holiday adjustment is done, shift focus to Q1 planning:
- Harvest Q4 search term data. Q4 generates massive search volume, which means your automatic and broad match campaigns collected hundreds of new search terms. Mine that data for new exact match keywords.
- Test new ad formats. January's lower CPCs make it the cheapest time to experiment with Sponsored Brands Video, Sponsored Display, or new keyword targets.
- Set ACOS targets for Q1. They should be tighter than Q4 targets since you are no longer optimizing for maximum revenue at any cost.
Our Amazon PPC management team builds these post holiday Amazon PPC resets into every client's annual plan. The transition from Q4 to Q1 is one of the highest-value windows in Amazon advertising — not because of the sales volume, but because the decisions you make in January set the foundation for the entire first half of the year. Get it right and you start Q1 with clean, efficient campaigns. Get it wrong and you spend February cleaning up the mess.
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